Truman National Security Project members, writing in their personal capacity.

On a cold February morning in 2025, residents of Taiwan’s Penghu Islands awoke to an unsettling silence. The whir of routers and the flow of digital communications, so ordinary as to be unnoticed, had vanished. ATMs blinked uselessly, online banking froze, and even the Taiwanese Coast Guard’s secure lines faltered.
In February 2023, CIA Director William Burns revealed that, according to U.S. intelligence, Xi Jinping had ordered the Chinese military to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027. Since then, China’s coercion has shifted from sporadic brinkmanship to a steady campaign of naval maneuvers and near-daily air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense zone.

Last week in Washington, I had the honor of moderating a fireside chat with Mr. Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, Chairman of the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) and former Foreign Minister of Pakistan, as part of a special convening hosted by the Truman National Security Project.